About & Open Letter
Dear International Community (Nations of the World),
My name is Israel Flores. I am a U.S. citizen, independent researcher and intellectual. I am writing to give the international community three immensely valuable gifts: three original research papers of enormous public interest that are currently being illegally suppressed by the U.S. government (in violation of my freedom of speech and the U.S. Constitution). These papers are attached at the bottom of this page. Secondly, I am also reaching out to inquire about the possibility of obtaining a visa to reside and conduct research in a country outside the United States.
To be absolutely clear: I am not a whistleblower because I am not an insider to anything. I have never worked for the federal U.S. government or any classified program. I am not offering classified information, state secrets, or anything obtained illegally. Everything I have created is my own original work—developed independently as a private citizen. Nothing I am doing is illegal. This is not espionage. This is not a trap. I am simply a persecuted researcher offering his life's work to the international community because it’s existentially important. You have nothing to lose and everything to gain from reading the completely legal and free material.
The three original research papers that are attached are:
1. A Rigorous Quantitative Assessment of the Probability of Nuclear War – This is not merely an academic paper. It is a formal, mathematically rigorous diagnosis of an existential threat that has been fallaciously and dangerously underestimated for decades. The paper on the probability of nuclear war is arguably better than the cure for cancer (hence the name of this website).Using Bayesian analysis, historical close‑call data, and weapons‑usage base rates, it demonstrates—with greater than 99% confidence—that nuclear war is more likely than not within a human lifetime. It demolishes the doctrine of Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) on both theoretical and empirical grounds. And crucially, it describes a concrete five‑step treaty framework that would drive the cumulative probability of nuclear war toward zero. The paper is being suppressed almost certainly because it provides a feasible solution that would make nuclear weapons obsolete and eliminate the pretext for the trillion‑dollar nuclear industry and the political power it sustains. I also have evidence that the state of Israel—who doesn’t want to undergo nuclear disarmament because of their “greater Israel project” (and who largely controls U.S. foreign policy), is suppressing it.
This paper, if implemented, could literally save billions of lives because it both proves an extremely high existential risk, AND solves it. Therefore its value is priceless.
The suppression of this information has profound economic consequences as well. The global financial system prices assets—stocks, bonds, real estate—under the implicit assumption that nuclear war has zero probability. But this is false (as the paper proves). To understand how the mathematical proof that the probability of nuclear war is over 50% in the next century can affect the financial markets, consider this analogy: Imagine you own a home valued at one million dollars. That value is based on the implicit assumption that a volcano will not erupt beneath it. Now imagine it is discovered that your home was built on a semi‑dormant volcano with a 50% probability of erupting within a century. Well that home is no longer worth one million dollars. The same logic applies to long‑term assets like stocks and bonds. They are priced as if nuclear war is impossible—but it is not. The knowledge of a high existential risk, if widely disseminated, would correct this market mispricing. The suppression of this information is therefore not just a violation of free speech—it is an economic crime against the global financial system.
2. A 10x Better Election System – A complete, mathematically sound description of a transparent, hack‑proof, and fair election system that eliminates voter suppression, intimidation, and fraud. It is also much cheaper in costs. It makes all demographic’s voices equal for the first time in history. It correctly identifies that elections are merely unintelligent polls because not 100% of the population participates (and therefore the actually participants constitute a mathematically non random sample size). It also correctly identifies that a much better measurement of citizens’ voices would be via an intelligently conducted scientific poll (the entire point of an election is to accurately measure the will/voice of its citizens). It is a civil rights breakthrough that would save billions of dollars and make every voice equal. Importantly, this system can be tweaked in countless ways to adapt to any particular democratic system of almost any country—there are many ways to implement an intelligent election system.
3. The Fundamental Theorem of Epistemology and Probability – A 37‑page formal paper establishing the foundational architecture of rational belief. It proves that absolute certainty is essentially impossible (the Socratean Theorem), that rational agents must have probability distributions, and that expected values are the probabilities for rational action. The paper resolves the quantum measurement problem, reveals that all numbers are transcendental, establishes that information requires consciousness, and even clarifies some debates about free will, meaning, and purpose. Its extreme fundamental nature entails a whole plethora of practical implications—including in mathematics, science, technology, economics, law, and crucially—it allows the coherent discerning of the probability of anything—including nuclear war. This is a genuinely original contribution to fundamental human knowledge. (What I call the “expected value identity theorem” in the aforementioned nuclear paper is part 2 of the Fundamental Theorem of Epistemology and Probability.)
These above papers represent only one of MANY valuable layers of information that I have to offer you. Here are the other valuable layers:
Layer 2: I have other ideas and information that I have already tried to share publicly (e.g., on Twitter, where my account is being heavily shadow‑banned). I can provide all of this material to absolutely anyone upon request for free again. You just need to contact me and request it.
Layer 3: I possess additional original research and information that no one in the world knows about because I haven’t shared it with anyone. This layer however, is not completely free—but almost. I’m seeking a country where I can pursue my work outside the unappreciative and persecutory US government. I am willing to provide half of this unpublished work immediately as proof of its value and authenticity. Once the work is verified as new and valuable, and I am granted access into your country, I will provide the second half upon safely entering your country. It’s a win-win for both of us (any host country and I). It’s even a win for the American people in the long run because it’s better to let something bloom elsewhere if it is only going to get suppressed at home due to egotistical and incompetent governance.
Layer 4: I am constantly creating and discovering new ideas and show no signs of slowing down. To the contrary, the rate of my discoveries and creative output has only been accelerating. Therefore, the probability that a host country would benefit from new discoveries after I arrive is very high. Moreover, I have identified many new branches of research and am eager to begin exploring them, but the US government and oligarchy are secretly monitoring everything I do (including my electronic devices). I don’t want to indirectly provide anything new (via their illegal surveillance) to an unappreciative government who will only persecute me in return for discovering things that make the world a better place.
Layer 5: A flexible diplomatic asset. My story—a U.S. citizen persecuted for solving existential problems—has significant journalistic value. I have a whole plethora of damning evidence of vicious US persecution in to suppress me and my work. If your country wishes to highlight this narrative publicly, it could serve as a powerful demonstration of U.S. hypocrisy and your country's commitment to protecting truth and knowledge. However, I fully understand that not every country wishes to expose the U.S. government’s tyrannical treatment of its own citizens. If your country prefers for me to keep this aspect of the story quiet while still benefiting from my research, I am entirely willing to comply. The choice is yours. The end goal is to share important research that saves and improves humanity, not to embarrass a corrupt and incompetent US government. This layer is offered as something extra (not imposed).
To reiterate, nothing that I am sharing or proposing is illegal in any way. I am not a fugitive from the law or any sort of spy. I am only under secret and ILLEGAL surveillance by a tyrannical oligarchy for possessing knowledge that challenges the status quo (and for possessing thresholds of intelligence and integrity that they fear). The first layer of value (the attached research papers) and the second layer are completely free. As for the other layers, I am not asking for extravagant amounts of money (although I am keenly aware that my work is worth a lot of money). I am merely asking for a safe haven to continue my research and share my work without censorship or vicious persecution. As stated earlier, the value of what I have to offer can easily be determined before any visa decision. I am willing to engage with any host country’s universities, research institutes, and academic communities, and I am available for any form of verification your government may require.
I am also available for any form of verification – media inquiries, interviews, or meetings with your doctors or psychologists. I am fully aware that the U.S. government has tried to frame me as mentally ill to discredit and suppress me, and I welcome any legitimate scrutiny. (I will easily be able to debunk any claim of being “delusional” or “schizophrenic”.)
An important caution: The U.S. government has a documented history of lying to foreign governments to suppress information and discourage contact with those they are targeting. If you receive any communication discouraging you from engaging with me, I urge you to treat it with extreme skepticism, as it is almost surely an orchestrated deception scheme. There is a reason they want to isolate me: the information I carry is extremely useful and powerful, but US oligarchs—the ones who really control my government—fear it simply because they’re incompetent and nefarious.
Thank you for your time and consideration. I am prepared to provide any additional documentation or proof you may require. I look forward to your response and feel free to contact me via any means. Considering the extreme suppression circumstances though, our safest course for communication is via a direct visit by me to your embassy. However, you would have to make transportation arrangements for me to get there because I do not have a support network in the United States (due to the severe persecution). I say this because if you try to contact me via electronic communications, it is almost surely going to be secretly/illegally stopped or intercepted by the US government (even though we are not doing anything illegal).
Thanks for reading this and please use the attached extremely powerful knowledge wisely.
Sincerely,
Israel Flores
https://www.betterthanthecureforcancer.com/
(208) 829-9236
Emails (send to both please):